CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 16E (Karina)…is located 690 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California
Northeast Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 16E (Karina)
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the NHC Advisory 9…Karina is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected over the next 24 hours, with gradual weakening thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific
A disturbance about 750 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii remains disorganized. Environmental conditions are not expected to be favorable for the disturbance to strengthen.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90W, which is located approximately 123 NM southeast of Manila, Philippines
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Upper level analysis indicates a favorable environment with low <15 knot wind shear, and good westward/equatorward and limited poleward outflow.
Invest 90W is currently tracking over the central Philippine Islands and will propagate west-northwestward toward the South China Sea, over warm sea surface temperatures into more favorable conditions.
Global models generally agree that 90W will continue to track west-northwestward, as it strengthens and consolidates over the South China Sea.
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to high.
South Pacific
Satellite image of this area
