CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at this time
Northeast Pacific
Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 150 NM north-northeast of Palau, FSM
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, the system is currently in a favorable environment for development, with good westward upper level outflow, and low <15 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that Invest 96W will consolidate and strengthen as it tracks northwestward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.
North Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
Arabian Sea
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 92A, which is located approximately 296 NM west-southwest of Mumbai, India.
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, upper level analysis indicates an unfavorable environment, with warm sea surface temperatures, and marginal westward outflow, offset by moderate to strong 15-25 knot wind shear.
Global models are in good agreement that 92A will weaken as it tracks towards the Arabian Peninsula.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to low.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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