Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

There are no active tropical cyclones at this time

 

Northeast Pacific

    There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95W, which is located approximately 237 NM southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, the system is currently in a marginal environment with moderate 20-25 knot wind shear, offsetting good westward upper level outflow…and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that Invest 95W will continue to track generally northwestward with minimal intensification…before moving Vietnam. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.   >>> There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96W, which is located approximately 463 NM east-southeast of Palau. Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, the system is currently in favorable environment with good westward upper level outflow, and low 5-10 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that Invest 96W will continue to track northwestward with minimal intensification over the next few days, before beginning to consolidate as it near Luzon…potentially reaching the warning threshold. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is is low.