CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)…is located about 325 NM south-southeast of Yokosuka, Japan
Tropical Cyclone 18W…is located about 237 NM northwest of Manila, Philippines
Northeast PacificShowers and thunderstorms, partially associated with the remnants of Norbert, are showing signs of organization a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while the system moves slowly to the west-northwest or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent
Western North PacificTropical Cyclone 16W (Chan-Hom)
Here’s what the computer models show According to the JTWC, TS 16W is located within a marginal environment and is tracking equatorward, with strong 30-35 knot wind shear. Additionally, there is significant dry air entraining into the system. TS 16W is forecast to turn south-southeastward through the forecast period. The storm will weaken steadily due to moderate to strong 20-30 knot wind shear and continued dry air entrainment , with dissipation anticipated by 36 hours. After 72 hours, as the system tracks over warm sea surface temperatures and under decreasing wind shear, there is some potential for it to slowly regenerate.