Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
May 23, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93B, which is located approximately 376 NM south-southwest of Chittagong, Bangladesh
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals formative convective banding wrapping into a broad low level circulation center with flaring convection being sheared to the southwest.
Environmental analysis shows continued favorable conditions for development, with robust outflow remaining in all quadrants except the northeast, moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.
Based on the radius of maximum winds the system is categorized as a monsoon depression at this time. However, global models remain in good agreement that invest 93B will contract into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours, while remaining quasi-stationary before turning northward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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