Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
May 21, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93B, which is located approximately 350 NM east-southeast of Visakhapatnam, India
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery reveals a disorganized system with flaring convection and broad vorticity along the northern edge of a westerly wind burst across the Bay of Bengal.
Although the current position is uncertain, models and environmental conditions indicate that there is a good chance for development of the disturbance over the next 24-
Upper-level analysis depicts a favorable environment for development with good equatorward outflow, moderate 15 to 20 knot wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that 93B will continue to track generally northward as it steadily intensifies.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is medium.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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