Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Mar 30, 2021
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 90B, which is located approximately 292 NM west-southwest of Phuket, Thailand
Here’s was the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a disorganized disturbance with weak flaring convection that is offset to the west of an area of broad, elongated, and ill-defined low level circulation.
However, invest 90B is in a favorable environment for development with warm sea surface temperatures, abundant westward outflow, and moderate 10-15 knot wind shear aloft.
Global models are split in agreement that Invest 90B will marginally consolidate and intensify without reaching tropical cyclone strength with the model consensus tracking the vortex generally north-northeastward toward Yangon, Myanmar.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
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