Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Jun 28, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing
There are no active tropical cyclones
Shower activity associated with a trough of low pressure, being referred to as Invest 95E, located a few hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has decreased during the past several hours. The disturbance is moving northwestward toward colder water, but it could still briefly become a tropical depression if showers and thunderstorms redevelop on Monday.
What the computer models are showing
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent
An area of low pressure is likely to form a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the middle of the week. Environmental conditions are then forecast to be conducive for slow development while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph well south of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percentSatellite image of this area