CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Post-Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)…is located 1015 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii
Northeast Pacific
There are no active tropical cyclones
1.) A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. This system is expected to be absorbed by another area of disturbed weather to its southeast during the next few days, and therefore development is not expected while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent
2.) Another area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located several hundred miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico. This system is expected to move northwestward at about 15 mph, parallel to the coast of Mexico, and some development is possible before it reaches cooler waters in a couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Satellite image of this area
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Post-Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)
According to the CPHC, the post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This motion, along with a slight increase in forward speed, is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The remnant low is expected to dissipate in a couple of days.
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Central Pacific
Post-Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)
According to the CPHC, the post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). This motion, along with a slight increase in forward speed, is expected over the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. The remnant low is expected to dissipate in a couple of days.
Here’s a satellite image of this area
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90S, which is located approximately 102 NM northwest of Diego Garcia
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a weak low level circulation, with pockets of flaring convection sheared southwestward of the center.
Invest 90S is currently in a marginal environment, good poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…offset by high 30-40 knot wind shear.
Global models indicate that the disturbance will continue tracking west-northwestward into even greater wind shear…into an unfavorable environment.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
