CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)…is located 1115 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii
Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)
According to the NHC, the depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected on Saturday, and a westward to slightly south of westward motion is expected through Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Boris is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low pressure area by Sunday.
1.) A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions have become less conducive, and development of this system is unlikely as it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent
2.) Another area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Some development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form early next week while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
Tropical Depression Boris has crossed into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility this evening and is currently located about 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center will take over issuing advisories for Boris at the next forecast cycle.
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
Tropical Depression Boris has crossed into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility this evening and is currently located about 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center will take over issuing advisories for Boris at the next forecast cycle.
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90S, which is located approximately 260 NM east of Diego Garcia
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows flaring convection sheared 40 NM to the south of a low level circulation.
Invest 90S is currently in a marginal environment, good poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…offset by high 30-40 knot wind shear.
Global models indicate that the disturbance will continue tracking west-northwestward into even greater wind shear and unraveling.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is downgraded to low.
