CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)…is located 1200 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii
Tropical Cyclone 03E (Boris)
According to the NHC, Boris is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Friday afternoon. A turn toward the west is forecast by Friday night, with a west or west-southwest motion continuing through Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight. After that, Boris is forecast to weaken back to a depression on Friday or Friday night, and degenerate into a remnant low by Saturday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.
1.) Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for some development, and the system could become a tropical depression within the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
2.) A large area of disturbed weather is located south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gradual development of this system is possible over the next several days while it moves west-northwestward parallel to the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Three-E, located about 1290 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Three-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Friday afternoon.
Central Pacific: There are no active tropical cyclone
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Three-E, located about 1290 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Three-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Friday afternoon.
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 90S, which is located approximately 440 NM east of Diego Garcia
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows flaring deep convection sheared to the south of a low level circulation.
Invest 90S is currently in a marginal environment, good poleward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…offset by high 20-30 knot wind shear.
Global models indicate that the disturbance will remain nearly stationary with limited potential for weak development, before accelerating westward and dissipating.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.
