Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

Jul 20, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 07E…is located 1435 west of the southern tip of Baja California

Tropical Cyclone 08E (Douglas)…is located 1025 southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

 

Northeast Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_2d0.png https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg Tropical Cyclone 07E What the computer models are showing According to the NHC, the depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is forecast early Tuesday and to the west-southwest late Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday morning. The remnant low should then dissipate by late Wednesday. Tropical Cyclone 08E (Douglas) What the computer models are showing According to the NHC, Douglas is moving toward the west-southwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slightly faster westward motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Douglas is expected to become a hurricane in a couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. >>> An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the southwestern coast of Mexico later this week. Gradual development of the system will be possible over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png There are no active tropical cyclone The National Hurricane Center has initiated advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located about 1500 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Seven-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Wednesday…as a Post-Tropical remnant low. The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Eight-E (Douglas), located about 2000 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Eight-E is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Friday morning. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclone formation is expected during the next 5 days. Here’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
 

Western North Pacific

https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwsair.jpg There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones According to the JTWC, there’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 92S, located approximately 295 NM west-northwest of Diego Garcia. Satellite imagery shows a low level circulation center mostly obscured by disorganized, fragmented deep convection overhead and to the northeast. 92S is currently in an unfavorable environment with ill-defined upper level outflow and unfavorable 30-50 knot wind shear overhead. Global models are in good agreement that 92S will track southwestward with gradual intensification. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15-20 knots The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low. Here’s what the computer models are showing Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.