Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

Jul 12, 2020

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Post-Tropical Cyclone 05E (Cristina)…is located about 1075 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California

  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP05/refresh/EP052020_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind+png/023354_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/SECTOR/eep/GEOCOLOR/1800x1080.jpg

Northeast Pacific

Post-Tropical Cyclone 05E (Cristina) According to the NHC, Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristina is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next two or three days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is anticipated and the remnant low will likely dissipate in a few days. Here’s what the computer models are showing   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_pac_2d0.png 1.) Satellite data indicate that a small low pressure area located a couple of hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, has become less well defined since yesterday. However, environmental conditions are still forecast to become more conducive for development, and this system has the potential to become a tropical depression during the next couple of days while it moves quickly west-northwestward to westward, well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…medium,…60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent Satellite image of this area
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/xgtwo/two_cpac_5d0.png There are no active tropical cyclones Here’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
 

Western North Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 99W, which is located approximately 167 NM east of Aparri, Philippines Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows a broad and ragged low level circulation, with weak convection near the center, and flaring deep convection sheared over the southwestern semi-circle. Invest 99W is in a marginal favorable environment, with moderate 15-20 knot wind shear, strong equatorward outflow and warm sea surface temperatures. Global models are in good agreement that the disturbance will maintain its marginal state at best over the next 24 hours, as it continues to track northwestward toward Taiwan into increasing wind shear…that will be offset only by the equatorwad outflow. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 17-23 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.

South Pacific

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

There are no active tropical cyclones Satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)   For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.