CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)…which is located approximately 906 NM east-northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius, in the South Indian Ocean
South Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 08S (Danilo)Here’s what the computer models are showing Sustained 35 knot winds…with gusts to 45 knots (as of Warning Number 16) According to the JTWC…satellite imagery indicates that TC 08S has significantly deteriorated as rain bands unraveled and central convection weakened, deformed and sheared westward of an obscured low level circulation center. Analysis indicates a marginally favorable environment with weak radial outflow and moderate15-20 knot wind shear aloft, and cooler along track sea surface temperatures. The environment will remain marginally favorable, fueling a slight intensification to 40 knots by 12 hours, sustained up to 48 hours. Afterward, cooling sea surface temperatures and diminishing outflow induced by an approaching mid-latitude trough will gradually erode the system leading to dissipation by 120 hours, after it tracks over Mauritius and La Reunion Islands.
Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)