Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

There are no active tropical cyclones at this time

Northeast Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

Here’s a satellite image of this area

Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

Western North Pacific

North Indian Ocean

South Indian Ocean

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95S, which is located approximately 839 NM east-southeast of Diego Garcia. Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, Invest 95S is currently in an increasingly favorable environment for development, with good dual channel outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures…and low 15-20 knot wind shear. Global models are in good agreement that 95S will track generally southwestward, while intensifying to warning threshold over the next 24 days. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25-30 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is remains high.

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 96S, which is located approximately 196 NM south of Jakarta, Indonesia. Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, Invest 96S remains in an unfavorable environment for development, with poor upper level outflow, and high 30-40 knot wind shear…offsetting warm sea surface temperatures, Global models are in fair agreement that 96S will remain nearly stationary, with minimal intensification. The system will ultimately move southeastward and intensifying, reaching warning threshold over the next several days, as it reaches the Australian coast near Learmonth. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.

Arabian Sea

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