Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95S, which is located approximately 332 NM north-northeast of Mauritius Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the JTWC, satellite imagery shows disorganized cloud banding wrapping into a weak low level circulation center, with flaring convection in the southern semi-circle of the center. Invest 95S is in a favorable environment for development, with warm sea surface temperatures, good poleward outflow aloft…and low 10-15 knot wind shear. Global models are in good agreement showing invest 95S will continue to track southwestward with steady intensification over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is remains medium.