Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 05W…located approximately 115 NM west-southwest of Sasebo, Japan Tropical Cyclone 06W...located approximately 226 NM east-southeast of Chichi Jima Tropical Cyclone 07W…located approximately 305 NM southeast of Hong Kong Tropical Cyclone 09E (Elida)…is located 220 miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico  

Northeast Pacific

Tropical Cyclone 09E (Elida) Here’s the computer models According to the NHC Advisory 5… Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Elida is expected to become a hurricane by Monday morning. Steady weakening is forecast begin Tuesday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center.   >>> An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin in a few days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system moves slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent >>> Another area of low pressure is forecast to develop well offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico by the middle of the week. Gradual development is possible thereafter, and this system could also become a tropical depression by late this week while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent