CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 05W…located approximately 222 NM south-southwest of Kadena AB Tropical Cyclone 09E…is located 315 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo, MexicoNortheast Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 09E
Here’s the computer models
According to the NHC Advisory 1…the depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue through Monday.
On the forecast track, the center of the system will remain well offshore of the coast of Mexico for the next several days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast, and the cyclone is likely to become a tropical storm on Sunday and a hurricane by late Monday.
>>> An area of low pressure is expected to form by the middle of next week offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Some development is possible thereafter as the system moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
An area of low pressure could form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin or around 1500 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii later this week.
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for development while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Tropical Cyclone 05W
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, TD 05W is positioned to the east and through an overall favorable environment for development, with low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.
The system will continue tracking northward through 24 hours…reaching an intensity of 45 knots.
After 24 hours, 05W will begin a north-northeastward tracks towards the Korea Strait. Between 36-48 hours the system will weaken slightly to 40 knots, due to cooler sea surface temperatures.
As the system continues to move over the cool waters of the Sea of Japan, it will further weaken. By 72 hours the system will drop to 35 knots.
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95W, which is located approximately 170 NM west of Manila, Philippines
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Invest 95W is currently in a marginally favorable environment, with good equatorward outflow, medium 15-25 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that Invest 95W will move northward while continuing to intensify.
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
Satellite image of this area
Central Pacific
An area of low pressure could form over the far western portion of the eastern Pacific basin or around 1500 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii later this week.
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for development while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 05W
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, TD 05W is positioned to the east and through an overall favorable environment for development, with low 5-10 knot wind shear, and warm sea surface temperatures.
The system will continue tracking northward through 24 hours…reaching an intensity of 45 knots.
After 24 hours, 05W will begin a north-northeastward tracks towards the Korea Strait. Between 36-48 hours the system will weaken slightly to 40 knots, due to cooler sea surface temperatures.
As the system continues to move over the cool waters of the Sea of Japan, it will further weaken. By 72 hours the system will drop to 35 knots.
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 95W, which is located approximately 170 NM west of Manila, Philippines
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Invest 95W is currently in a marginally favorable environment, with good equatorward outflow, medium 15-25 knot wind shear…and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models are in good agreement that Invest 95W will move northward while continuing to intensify.
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
Satellite image of this area
