Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea
Aug 4, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Depression 03W (Hagupit)…located approximately 71 NM west-southwest of Shanghai, China – Final Warning
An area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southwest of the southern coast of Mexico over the weekend.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for at least gradual development after that while the system moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent
Tropical Depression 03W (Hagupit) –Final Warning
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, Tropical Depression 03W will continue to weaken over the next 24 hours, due to a mixture of terrain effects, high 25+ wind shear, and lack of upper level outflow.
By 12 hours, the system will move into the Yellow Sea and dissipate over water.
Despite dissipation, gale force winds associated with deep southerly flow over the East China Sea are forecast to continue.
Satellite image of this area