CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 10W (Maysak)…is located approximately 184 NM north-northwest of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan Tropical Cyclone 11W (Haishen)…is located approximately 295 NM south-southeast of Iwo To, JapanNortheast Pacific
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 10W (Maysak)
Here’s what the computer models show
According to the JTWC, upper level analysis indicates a favorable environment with low 10-15 knot wind shear, and established poleward and equatorward outflow channels. Additionally, warm sea surface temperature values and favorable ocean heat content values are conducive for further development.
Through 72 hours, TY 10W is forecast to track north-northwestward, while steadily intensifying to a peak of 120 knots by 12 hours under favorable conditions…passing west of Okinawa.
TY Maysak will steadily weaken thereafter, as it encounters cooler sea surface temperatures and increasing wind shear values. Additionally, land interaction will cause the system to weaken.
Here’s what the computer models show
According to the JTWC, the storm is heading west-southwest at near 12 knots.
There will continue to be a gradual increase in intensify, peaking at 115 knots within 120 hours.
On this track the storm will move by well offshore to the south, southwest, and then west of Iwo To, and then later in the forecast period, well east of Okinawa…and on towards southern Japan.
Satellite image of this area
