CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 12E (Genevieve)…is located 465 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Baja California Tropical Cyclone 08W…located approximately 180 NM southeast of Hong KongNortheast Pacific
According to the NHC Advisory 7A…Genevieve is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through this morning.
A turn to the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is forecast to occur by this afternoon and continue through at least early Thursday.
On the forecast track, the center of Genevieve is expected to move parallel to but well offshore the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so.
The center of the hurricane is forecast to move to the southwest of the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula on Wednesday night and Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36 hours, and Genevieve is expected to become a major hurricane later today.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km).
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific
An area of low pressure about 800 miles south-southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii is producing some showers and thunderstorms, but lacks significant organization.
Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for development over the next few days, but may improve as the system continues westward and nears the Date Line later in the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
Western North Pacific
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the JTWC, the depression will track west-northwestward, making landfall shortly after 36 hours near Yangjiang, China.
The favorable environment will fuel intensification to a peak of 45 knots just before striking shore.
Afterward, the rugged chinese terrain, in addition to increasing wind shear, will erode the system to dissipation by 72 hours…or sooner.
Satellite image of this area
