CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES
Tropical Cyclone 10E…is located 1655 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja CaliforniaNortheast Pacific
Tropical Cyclone 10E
Here’s what the computer models are showing
According to the NHC Advisory 8…The depression is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). The system is forecast to meander generally westward tonight and northwestward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Minor fluctuations in intensity are possible during the next two or three days.
>>> Satellite data indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low pressure located about 175 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little better defined since yesterday. However, the associated shower activity remains limited. While some additional development of this system is possible, the low is forecast to reach cooler waters on Saturday and the chance of this system becoming a tropical depression appears to be decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent
>>> Another area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low pressure is located about 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for the development of this system and it is likely to become a tropical depression while it moves slowly north-northwestward or northward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent
>>> A trough of low pressure continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms just offshore of the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low pressure system to develop from this trough over the next day or so, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)
Central Pacific
A broad area of low pressure located around 575 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Development will be slow to occur through the weekend, then some gradual development is possible early next week as the system moves west around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent
Here’s a satellite image of this area
Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97W, which is located approximately 564 NM east of Kwajalein Atoll.
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.
Satellite image of this area
There’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97B, which is located approximately 111 NM south-southwest of Kolkata, India
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
Satellite image of this area
Western North Pacific
There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97W, which is located approximately 564 NM east of Kwajalein Atoll.
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is upgraded to medium.
Satellite image of this area
South Pacific
Satellite image of this areaNorth Indian Ocean
Satellite image of this areaSouth Indian Ocean
There’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97B, which is located approximately 111 NM south-southwest of Kolkata, India
Here’s what the computer models are showing
Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots.
The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.
Satellite image of this area
