Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES

Tropical Cyclone 10E…is located 1505 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California

Northeast Pacific

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Tropical Cyclone 10E Here’s what the computer models are showing According to the NHC Advisory 4…The depression is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow west-southwestward motion is forecast to begin later tonight or on Friday. The system is forecast to drift northwestward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast during the next day or two.

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>> A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues in association with a surface trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Even though this system has been slow to organize, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or two before the system reaches cooler waters later this weekend. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the west-central coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent >>> A trough of low pressure is located just offshore the Pacific coast of Central America. Conditions are expected to be conducive for a low to develop from this trough over the next few days, and and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward just offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)

Central Pacific

A broad area of low pressure located around 900 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of this system is possible through early next week while it moves westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Here’s a satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC)

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Western North Pacific

There’s a tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97W, which is located approximately 443 NM east of Majuro, FSM. Here’s what the computer models are showing Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 10-15 knots. The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low. Satellite image of this area

South Pacific

Satellite image of this area

North Indian Ocean

Satellite image of this area

South Indian Ocean

There’s a second tropical disturbance, being referred to as Invest 97B, which is located approximately 180 NM south of Kolkata, India Here’s what the computer models are showing Maximum sustained winds are estimated at 15-20 knots. The potential for the system to transition into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low. Satellite image of this area

Arabian Sea

Satellite image of this area Here’s a link to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) For real-time information on current disasters download PDC’s free Disaster Alert mobile app available for your iOS or Android wwwices today! Also be sure to monitor PDC on Twitter, Facebook, and by accessing the web-accessible Disaster Alert from your computer, phone, or tablet.