Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Pacific Ocean / Indian Ocean / Arabian Sea

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 05W (Jangmi)…located approximately 139 NM northeast of Chinhae, South Korea – Final Warning Tropical Cyclone 06W…located approximately 109 NM north of Iwo To Tropical Cyclone 07W (Mekkhala)…located approximately 216 NM west-southwest of Taipei, Taiwan – Final Warning Tropical Cyclone 09E (Elida)…is located 115 miles northwest of Socorro Island, Mexico  

Northeast Pacific

Hurricane 09E (Elida) Here’s the computer models According to the NHC Advisory 9…Elida is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is possible on Tuesday, with weakening likely on Wednesday and Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km).   >>> An elongated area of disturbed weather is located around 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A low pressure system is expected to form within this area in a day or two, and it will likely become a tropical depression late this week. The system is expected to move slowly westward toward the central Pacific basin during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent >>> An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south or southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development thereafter, and this system will likely become a tropical depression late this week or over the weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent >>> Another area of low pressure is expected to form in a few days over the far eastern portion of the basin to the south of the coast of Central America. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent Here’s the link to the National Hurricane Center (NHC)