CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)…is located 995 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands
Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)...is located is located 675 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands
Atlantic Ocean:
Tropical Cyclone 17L (Paulette)
What the
computer models are showing
According to the NHC
Advisory 13…Paulette is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).
A motion toward the west or west-northwest is expected through Friday. A northwestward motion should begin Friday night and continue into the weekend.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next couple of days. However,
Paulette could restrengthen early next week.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center.
Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)
Tropical Cyclone 18L (Rene)
What the
computer models show
According to the NHC
Advisory 12…Rene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a motion toward the west-northwest is expected for the next couple of days, followed by a turn to the northwest.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Rene is expected to be near hurricane strength by Friday night.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center.
>>> Satellite wind data and surface observations indicate that the low pressure area of of the coast of the Carolinas has weakened to a trough. The system is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and move inland over eastern North Carolina this afternoon, and the chances for significant development by that time are decreasing. Interests along the coasts of North and South Carolina should continue to monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…
low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…
low…10 percent
>>> A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorm is centered a couple of hundred miles northeast of the Central Bahamas. This system is forecast to drift westward and will likely be in the vicinity of the Florida peninsula on Friday. Afterward, upper-level conditions could become conducive for some development this weekend while the system drifts west-northwestward over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…
low…20 percent
>>> A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa later today. Gradual development is anticipated once the system moves over water, and a tropical depression is expected to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves generally westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…
medium…60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…
high…90 percent
>>> Another tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa this weekend. Environmental conditions could be conducive for slow development over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean early next week while the wave moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…
low…30 percent
Here’s a
satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean
Gulf of Mexico:
Caribbean:
WSI
satellite image of the Caribbean Sea
Latest
satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico
