Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico
Jul 9, 2020
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone Fay…is located approximately 105 miles south of Ocean City, Maryland
Tropical Cyclone Fay
According to the NHC, Fay is moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the next couple of days.
On the forecast track, the center of Fay is forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast today and move inland over the mid-Atlantic or the northeast United States late tonight or on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast today and tonight while the center remains over water. Weakening should begin after the center moves inland.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) mainly to the east and southeast of the center.
Here’s what the computer models
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 8 inches along and near the track of Fay across the mid Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward through the warning area Friday night.
STORM SURGE: Minor flooding is possible along the coast for portions of the Tropical Storm Warning area.
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Friday over portions of New Jersey, southeast New York, and southern New England.