Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – Atlantic Ocean / Caribbean Sea / Gulf of Mexico

CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:

Tropical Cyclone 13L…is located 380 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands

Tropical Cyclone 14L…is located 35 miles east of Cabo Gracias A Dios on Nic/Hon border

    Atlantic Ocean: Tropical Cyclone 13L According to the NHC Advisory 5A…The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track, the depression is expected to move near or north of the northern Leeward Islands later today, near or north of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Saturday, and near or north of Hispaniola Saturday night. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast, and the depression is likely to become a tropical storm by the weekend. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 5 inches over the northern Leeward Islands, and maximum totals of 3 to 6 inches over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands through Sunday. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area by late Friday.     A tropical wave nearing the western Africa coast is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms within a few hundred miles of the coastline. This wave is expected to move over the far eastern tropical Atlantic on Friday, and some slow development is possible through the weekend while it moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent  Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean Here’s a satellite image of the Atlantic Ocean Caribbean Sea: Tropical Cyclone 14L According to the NHC Advisory 3A…The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue this morning. A turn toward the northwest with a decrease in forward speed is expected by this afternoon and continuing through at least Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of the system will move near or just offshore the coasts of northern Nicaragua and northeastern Honduras, including the Bay Islands, today and approach the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. The center is then expected to cross the Yucatan Peninsula Saturday night and move into the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The system is forecast to be near or at hurricane strength when it reaches the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico late Saturday. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area tonight and on Friday. RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce 1 to 2 inches of rain across Jamaica and northern Nicaragua, and 2 to 4 inches over portions of Honduras through Saturday. WSI satellite image of the Caribbean Sea Latest satellite image of the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico Gulf of Mexico:  Latest satellite image of the Gulf of Mexico