By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 98W…which is located approximately 205 NM south of Puerto Princesa, Philippines.
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts deep convection in the northern periphery of a broad low level circulation.
Environmental analysis reveals favorable conditions for development defined by, robust outflow aloft, low (10-15 knot) vertical wind shear, and very warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models indicate that invest 98W will intensify as it tracks northwestward toward Vietnam in the South China Sea over the next 48-72 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.