By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 95W…which is located approximately 294 NM southwest of Chuuk, FSM.
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows ragged low-level cloud lines wrapping into a broad low-level circulation and fragmented banding consolidated to the northeast quadrant.
Environmental conditions have improved due to strong radial outflow aloft and warm sea surface temperatures offset by moderate to high (15-20 knot) vertical wind shear.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours has been upgraded to medium.