By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing
Northeast Pacific Ocean:
There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the NHC
There are no tropical cyclones nor any areas of disturbed weather under investigation by the CPHC
Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, Indian Ocean, Arabian Sea:
>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 93W which is located approximately 168 NM west-northwest of Yap
Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows a broad, monsoon depression-like circulation with robust convection hiding the low level circulation center within the southeastern quadrant.
Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions for development with a point source aloft, low (5-10 knot) vertical wind shear, strong divergence aloft, with equatorward outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.
Global models generally agree that 93W will consolidate, deepen and intensify as it meanders northwestward over the next 24-48 hours.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 18 to 22 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains medium.