Invest 96B
Monday, December 5, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

Current Tropical Cyclones:

There are no active Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing

 

Northwest and Southwest Pacific Ocean, North and South Indian Oceans, and Arabian Sea:

North Indian Ocean

>>> There’s an area of disturbed weather, being referred to as Invest 96B, which is located approximately 155 NM west-northwest of Nicobar Islands

Animated enhanced infrared satellite imagery depicts persistent flaring convection in the northern semicircle of a gradually consolidating low level circulation (llc). A partial pass also reveals a llc beginning to form west-northwest of the nicobar islands.

Environmental analysis indicates favorable conditions for development with moderate (10-15 knot) vertical wind shear, warm sea surface temperatures, and moderate poleward and fair equatorward outflow.

Global models are in good agreement for steady development as 96B tracks west-northwestward over the next 24-48 hours.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots.

The potential for the development remainsmedium.