Invest 97L / Invest 98L
Sunday, November 6, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James


There are no Tropical Cyclones at the time of this writing


>>> Central Subtropical Atlantic:

Invest 97L

A well-defined low pressure area located several hundred miles east of Bermuda is associated with an area of showers and thunderstorms.

This activity has been attempting to redevelop closer to the center, and if these trends continue, a short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today while the system drifts slowly over the central Atlantic.

Thereafter, the system is forecast to turn northeastward and merge with a strong cold front by the middle part of this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent


>>> Southwestern Atlantic:

Invest 98L

An area of low pressure located more than 200 miles north of Puerto Rico is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is forecast to move northward and then northwestward into the southwestern Atlantic where environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form in the next day or so. The system is then forecast to turn westward or west-southwestward over the southwestern Atlantic by the middle part of this week where additional development is possible.

Regardless of development, there is an increasing risk of coastal
flooding, tropical-storm-force winds, heavy rainfall, rough surf, and beach erosion along much of the southeastern United States coast, the Florida east coast, and portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas beginning in the early to middle part of this week.

Interests in those areas should continue to monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm, hurricane, and storm surge watches could be required for a portion of these areas by early Monday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent