There are no Tropical Cyclones / 2 areas under investigation
Wednesday, October 26, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James


There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing


Southwestern Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure stretching from the eastern Caribbean Sea northward to the southwestern Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

The northern part of this trough axis is expected to result in the formation of a surface cyclone, and environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for subtropical development of this system thereafter.

A subtropical depression could form while the system moves northward during the next couple of days. The system is then forecast to meander over the subtropical western Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda as upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development by the end of the weekend.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent

Eastern Caribbean:

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend, possibly related to the southern part of an existing trough of low pressure over the area.

Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward into the central Caribbean Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent