There are no Tropical Cyclones / 2 areas under investigation
Thursday, October 27, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James


There are no active tropical cyclones at the time of this writing


Southwestern Atlantic:

A trough of low pressure over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

A surface low pressure system is forecast to emerge along the northern portion of the trough axis tonight or Friday, and some subsequent development could occur through Saturday.

By late Saturday, upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development, and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent

Eastern Caribbean:

An area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern Caribbean Sea this weekend, possibly related to the southern portion of an existing trough of low pressure over the area.

Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward or west-northwestward over the
central Caribbean Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent