By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
CURRENT TROPICAL CYCLONES:
Tropical Cyclone Karl…is located about 255 miles north-northeast of Veracruz, Mexico
Tropical Cyclone Karl
AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING KARL
NHC advisory number 6A
Karl is moving toward the north-northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). The tropical storm is forecast to move little overnight, but a slow motion to the south-southeast is expected to begin by Thursday morning.
A faster generally southward motion is forecast by late Thursday, and that motion should continue through Friday night. On the forecast track, Karl will approach the coast of Mexico within the watch area on Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible tonight, followed by gradual weakening until landfall.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Karl is expected to produce 3 to 7 inches of rain, with local maxima up to 12 inches, across portions of Veracruz and Tabasco states in Mexico through Friday night. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with local maxima up to 6 inches, is also expected across portions of Chiapas. Flash flooding with mudslides in higher terrain is possible.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible along the Mexican coastline in the watch area starting Friday.
SURF: Swells generated by Karl are expected to affect the Mexican coastline for the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.