Tropical Cyclone 03L (Colin)
Saturday, July 2, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James


Tropical Cyclone 03L (Colin)…located about 15 miles north of Wilmington, North Carolina


Advisory number 4

The depression is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A
slightly faster northeast to east-northeast motion is expected during the next day or so.

On the forecast track, the center of Colin or it remnants is expected to move northeastward along or just inland of the North Carolina coast through Sunday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is likely, and Colin is expected to degenerate to a remnant area of low pressure later tonight or on Sunday.

The system is expected to dissipate completely Sunday night or Monday.

Hazards affecting Land

RAINFALL: Colin will continue to produce locally heavy rainfall across coastal portions of North Carolina through Sunday morning, where an additional 1 to 2 inches of rainfall is possible. This rainfall may result in localized areas of flash flooding.

WIND: Gusts to tropical-storm force in squalls are possible across portions of coastal North Carolina tonight.

SURF: Swells generated by Colin are affecting portions of the North Carolina coast. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

>>> Eastern Caribbean Sea:

A tropical wave continues to produce showers and thunderstorms, along with gusty winds, over the eastern Caribbean Sea, Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and portions of the Leeward Islands.

Although shower activity has become a littler more concentrated, significant development of this system is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds.

This disturbance is expected to move westward to west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea during the next few days.est-northwestward during the next few days across the Caribbean Sea.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent