By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Tropical Cyclone 06P (Tiffany)…is located approximately 294 NM east-southeast of Darwin, Australia – Final Warning
According to the JTWC warning number 12, wind speeds are 45 knots with gusts to 55 knots.
Satellite imagery depicts the system moving rapidly west with increased deep convection over the low level circulation.
Analysis indicates TC 06P remains in an overall favorable environment with the moderate wind shear offset by moderate westward outflow and very warm sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Carpentaria. TC Tiffany is tracking westward along the northern periphery of the ridge to the south.
TC 06P will continue tracking quickly westward over the Gulf of Carpentaria, making landfall south of Maria Island just north of the Cox River Inlet, by 12 hours. The
marginally favorable environment will maintain the intensity as the system moves quickly overland.
Afterward, the continual land interaction along with increasing wind shear will cause rapid dissipation on or before 36 hours, just as the system will turn sharply toward the southwest.