By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94S…which is located approximately 320 NM northwest of Cocos Islands, Australia
According to the JTWC…satellite imagery shows convective banding sheared west of a slightly obscured low level circulation in the northwestern periphery and formative banding wrapping in from the south.
Upper-air analysis shows that invest 94S is under high (30-40 knot) vertical wind shear, with fair equatorward outflow that is offset by warm sea surface temperatures.
Global numerical models agree that the invest 94sS will gradually develop as the system tracks west-southwestward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.