Southwest Pacific Ocean – Invest 94P
Monday, April 18, 2022

Current Snapshot

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By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James

There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 94P…which is located approximately 114 NM north-northwest of Gove AP, Australia

According to the JTWC…satellite imagery depicts fragmented convection strung across the eastern quadrant of a partially exposed, ragged low level circulation (llc).

Environmental analysis shows marginally favorable conditions with pronounced equatorward outflow, low to moderate (10-15 knot) vertical wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures.

Global models have significantly backed off, and now show no real promising signs of development, as the circulation center tracks to the northwest.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains low.