By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
There’s a tropical disturbance being referred to as Invest 93S…which is located approximately 273 NM northwest of Mauritius
According to the JTWC, satellite imagery depicts flaring convection sheared to the north of a partially obscured low level circulation center
Upper level analysis reveals a marginal environment with equatorward outflow aloft offset by moderate to high (20-30 knot) vertical wind shear…while sea surface temperatures are favorable.
Dynamic models indicate consolidation and intensification over the next 24 hours as the system tracks west-southwestward.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25 to 30 knots.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains high.