By PDC’s Senior Weather
Specialist Glenn James
Potential Tropical Cyclone One…is located about 145 miles east-northeast of Fort Pierce, Florida
NHC Advisory Number 10
DISTURBANCE PULLING AWAY FROM FLORIDA AND THE BAHAMAS
The system is moving toward the northeast near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued relatively fast northeast to east-northeast motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move away from the northwestern Bahamas and move near or to the north of Bermuda on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical or subtropical storm on Sunday, and some strengthening is possible. However, gradual weakening is expected early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…90 percent
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall from Potential Tropical Cyclone One is expected to bring 2 to 3 inches or 50 to 75 mm of rain across Bermuda Sunday night into Monday.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda on Monday.